トレーダーが失敗する5つの致命的な要因は、自ら招いたものだということをご存知だろうか?
多くのトレーダー 自己破壊 自分自身の取引であるにもかかわらず、それを行っていることにさえ気づいていないかもしれない。口座がゼロになったとき、彼ら自身を責める人は誰もいない。
これらのトレーダーにとっては遅すぎるかもしれないが、幸いなことに、あなたにとっては遅すぎることはない。
私たちは、あなたが同じ盲点に悩まされることがないように、そして願わくば、吹っ飛んだアカウントと同じ運命を共有することがないようにしたいと思っています。
覚えやすくするために、これらのマイナス要因を"トレーディングのO"と5人いる。
O'sにインスパイアされたケトフレンドリーなシリアルもある。
多くのトレーダーがこの比喩的なシリアルを食べている。菜食主義のトレーダーでさえも。おいしそうに見えるが、トレーダーとして成功する可能性を高めたいのであれば、トレーダーの食事の一部としてこれを食べるのは絶対に避けるべきだ。
5つの "O "とは?
- 自信過剰
- オーバートレーディング
- 過剰レバレッジ
- 露出過多
- ストップロスの無効化
それぞれの "O "を詳しく見てみよう。
自信過剰
自信過剰とは、単に自分は何でもこなせると思っていることではない。自信過剰の特徴は 自分のトレーディング・スキルを過信する.
自信 は、トレーダーとして成功するために不可欠である。自信があれば、リスクを取ったり、チャンスを探したりすることができる。
しかし、自分のトレードが利益を生む可能性があると信じることと、市場についてすべてを知っていて、勝つことばかりだから負けるはずがないと考えることは別のことです。あなたは DJキャレド.
自信は必要だが、 あまりに 自信はマイナスの結果をもたらしかねない。
この現象は 過信効果.
過信効果は 認知バイアス を信じている 主観的に その判断が、その判断よりも優れている、あるいは信頼できるものであるということ。 客観的に である。
基本的に、自信が高いときというのは、公平で理性的な人(あなたの母親ではない)が、同じ事実があればあなたについてどう考えるかよりも、あなた自身に対する評価が高いときだ。
心理学者は、自信過剰を3つの異なる形で観察している:
- 過大評価
- オーバープレシジョン
- オーバープレースメント
過大評価 とは、自分のパフォーマンスを過大評価する傾向のことである。
オーバープレシジョン というのは、自分が真実を知っているという過度の自信である。
オーバープレースメント とは、他の人と比べて自分のパフォーマンスを判断するものである。
言い方を変えれば、自信過剰な人々は、自分が他の誰よりも優れていると信じ、それを過大評価する。 知識の精度 そして 能力レベル.
例えば、無作為に大勢の人に自分の運転能力を評価してもらうと、ほとんどの人が自分のことを平均以上のドライバーだと思っていることがわかるだろう!
誰もが平均以上のドライバーだとしたら、平均的なドライバーはどこにいるのか?
過信効果の影響を最小限に抑えるには、時間をかけて真に次のことを行う必要がある。 自分を理解する そして 自分の能力.
あなたは 自分の限界に気づく そして what opportunities are not worth pursuing.
Most importantly, you must ALWAYS consider the possibility that you are WRONG, to listen to new evidence, and to know when to change your mind!
You must have the confidence to trade, but this must be balanced with intellectual humility.
Overtrading (including Revenge Trading)
Overtading is when you are trading too frequently, taking extremely large trades, and/or taking uncalculated risks.
Successful traders are extremely patient. Quality setups take time to materialize, so they remain patient and wait for confirmation.
It doesn’t matter if the setup takes two hours or two weeks to take shape.
What matters is protecting their capital so they will wait until the odds are more in their favor before entering.
You will know if you are overtrading.
If you close a trade for a loss and deep down, you feel like you shouldn’t have taken the trade, then you’re GUILTY of overtrading.
For example, when you’re supposed to trade from the デイリー chart, do you find yourself still looking at the lower time frames like the 5-minute chart and “discovering” better trades there?
Do you find yourself spending hours staring at charts and trying to “force” a trade with a “good enough” setup?
Spending too much time staring at charts tends to cause overtrading because you become prone to falling into a trance looking at so much “price action” (and indicators) that magical setups will just start appearing, which are actually just MIRAGES!
Revenge Trading
Letting your emotions get to you regarding your trading performances is dangerous.
When it comes to trading, the head, not the heart, should be in charge.
When you suffer a large loss, or a series of losses, within a short span of time, you might be tempted to “revenge trade".
You want to “get back at the market”.
Revenge trading is when you jump back into a new trade right after taking a loss because you believe that you can quickly flip the loss back into a profit.
When you start thinking like this, your state of mind is not objective anymore. You become more prone to making even more trading mistakes, which results in you losing even more money.
How do you avoid revenge trading?
- Be fully present and fully focused while trading.
- Make sure you’re in a good state of mind and not currently filled with negative emotions such as anxiety, apathy, fear, greed, or impatience.
- Have a trading plan and stick to it! Always trade in a methodical manner. There is no place for random improvisation when you enter or are in a trade.
If you want to succeed as a trader, you must think long-term.
Don’t stress over one loss or even losing a couple of days in a row. Stay focused on your trading performance over the coming months and years.
It’s easy to think that the more you trade, the more money you’ll make. But the opposite is true.
Trading is a game of patience. Traders who wait for quality setups and sit on their hands in between are the ones who will end up profitable in the long run. Focus on the process. Not on the profits.
過剰レバレッジ
In forex trading, レバレッジ means that with a small amount of capital in your account, you can open and control a much larger trading position.
For example, with a $1,000, your broker might allow you to open a $100,000 position. This is 100:1 leverage.
The advantage of using leverage is you can magnify gains with a limited amount of capital.
The disadvantage of leverage is that you can also magnify your losses and quickly blow your account!
When trading with excessive leverage, a small price swing can wipe out your entire account balance.
The greater the leverage level you use, the greater the swings in your account equity. In most cases, you end up with a margin call.
When your account equity is jumping around due to your highly levered positions, good luck keeping your emotions in check and not letting it affect your thinking.
Nobody will want to be around you when this is happening.
When trading with low (or no) leverage, you will give your trade “room to breathe” and protect your trading capital.
For example, you’ll be able to accommodate wider ストップロス while keeping your risk limited.
The higher your leverage, the greater your risk on each trade, likely resulting in irrational decision-making.
Knowing the link between leverage and your account equity is crucial since it determines your true leverage.
Here’s a study that was done by a popular forex broker showing the percentage of profitable traders by average true leverage.
ご覧の通りだ、 profitability declines substantially as true leverage increases!
40% of traders using true leverage of 5:1 or lower were profitable, compared to only 17% of traders using 25:1 leverage or higher.
Most professional traders trade with very low true leverage and rarely go above 10:1. That’s how they stay in the game.
Regardless of the leverage amount that your broker offers, you can emulate these lower leverage levels by simply depositing more money in your account and managing your risk properly by using proper ポジションサイジング.
Use true leverage of 10:1 or lower.
Only risk 10% or less of your account balance at any given time. Never let the value of all your trades open exceed 10 times your account equity.
To calculate your true leverage of a single trade, divide your trade size by your account equity.
For example, if you open an account with $5,000 in equity, a 10:1 leverage would mean opening positions no larger than $50,000 (or ~5 mini or 50 micro lots) at a time.
The lower the leverage, the safer. For example, a 2:1 leverage would mean opening positions no larger than $10,000 (or ~10 micro lots) at a time.
If you care about longevity as a trader, the LESS leverage you use, the better.
Having access to high leverage doesn’t mean you need to use it!
When you first open your live account, try to start trading with ZERO leverage.
For example, if you have $5,000 in your trading account, don’t open any positions larger than $5,000 (or ~5 micro lots) at a time.
With experience, you’ll learn when it’s best to use leverage, and how much leverage to apply, to help you achieve your financial goals.
When using any amount of leverage, trading with CAUTION should be your priority.
Excessive leverage makes profitability significantly less likely.
What exactly is leverage and how does it work? Learn more about leverage before you blow your accout.
露出過多
When you have multiple positions open in your trading account and each position consist of a 違う currency pair, always make sure you’re aware of your RISK EXPOSURE.
For example, on most occasions, trading AUD/USD and NZD/USD is essentially like having two identical trades open because they usually move in a similar manner.
Even if there are two valid trade setups in both pairs, you may not want to take both.
Instead, it might make more sense to pick ONE out of the two setups.
You might believe that you’re spreading or diversifying your risk by trading in different pairs, but many pairs tend to move in the same direction.
だから instead of reducing risk, you are magnifying your risk!
Unknowingly, you are actually exposing yourself to MORE risk.
これは 露出過多.
一度に1つの通貨ペアだけを取引するのでなければ、異なる通貨ペアが互いに関連してどのように動くかを理解することが極めて重要です。
You need to understand the concept of 通貨相関.
Currency correlation measures how two currency pairs move in the same, opposite, or totally random directionある期間にわたって。
You need to be familiar with how currency correlations can affect the amount of risk you’re exposing your trading account to.
If you don’t know what the heck you’re doing when trading multiple pairs simultaneously in your trading account, don’t be surprised if your account balance goes poof!
Are you doubling or tripling your risk without knowing it? Learn more about currency correlation.
Overriding Stops
Stop losses are pending orders you enter that effectively close out your trading position(s) when losses hit a predetermined price.
It might be psychologically difficult for you to acknowledge being wrong, but swallowing your pride can keep you in the game longer.
Do you have the mental toughness and self-control to stick to your stops?
In the heat of battle, what often separates the long-term winners from the losers is whether or not they can objectively follow their predetermined plans.
Traders, especially the more inexperienced ones, often question themselves and lose that objectivity when the pain of losing kicks in.
Negative thoughts appear such as, “I’m already down a lot. Might as well hold on. Maybe the market will turn right here.”
Wrong!
If the market has reached your stop, your reason for the trade is no longer valid and it’s time to close it out.
Do not widen your stop.
Even worse, do not override or remove your stop and “Let it ride!”
Increasing your stop only increases your risk and the amount you will LOSE!
If the market hits your planned stop then your trade is done.
Take the hit and move on to the next opportunity.
Widening your stop is basically like not having a stop at all and it doesn’t make any sense to do it!
Stop losses help you limit your losses and help you move on. Learn about the different types of stop losses and how to properly use them.